Since the beginning of the year, new coronavirus-positive cases detected daily in India have declined significantly.
10-14 thousand compared to more than 100 thousand as of mid-September 2020. In large cities – such as the capital New Delhi, Mumbai and Pune – the amount of COVID-19 patients admitted to hospitals has decreased, as has the number of admissions to intensive care units. The impression is that the pandemic is beginning to slow down in one of the world’s most populous countries, which was feared to suffer more than others from the effects of the coronavirus.
The Financial Times devoted a lengthy article to the case of India, wondering if the improvement of the last few days is one of the first indications of the achievement of so-called “community immunity” (or “herd immunity”), the condition in which most individuals have developed an immune response to a virus (or other pathogen) that has circulated widely among the population. It’s probably too early to have a definitive answer given the many variables in a country of more than 1.3 billion people, but something can already be figured out.
Since the pandemic began, 10.8 million positive cases have been detected in India, the highest figure globally after the more than 26 million cases detected in the United States. Experts agree, however, that the official figure greatly underestimates the true prevalence of the coronavirus in the country, where few tests are performed relative to the population, and where many COVID-19 diagnoses slip through the cracks. More severe cases, requiring hospitalization, are tracked more regularly than those with mild or moderate symptoms, which are often not even brought to the attention of physicians.
by Basit Abbasi – CCTV